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Heuristic Biases as Mental Shortcuts to Investment Decision-Making: A Mediation Analysis of Risk Perception

  • Jinesh Jain
  • , Nidhi Walia
  • , Himanshu Singla
  • , Simarjeet Singh
  • , Kiran Sood
  • , Simon Grima*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
    • Sri Aurobindo College of Commerce and Management
    • Punjabi University
    • Great Lakes Institute of Management, Gurgaon
    • Chitkara University
    • University of Malta

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    41 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    In the last two decades, research on behavioural biases has grown dramatically, fuelled by rising academic interest and zeal for publication. The present study explores the mediating role of risk perception on the relationship between heuristic biases and individual equity investors’ decision-making. The study uses Partial Least Square Structural Equation Modelling (PLS–SEM) to examine the survey data from 432 individual equity investors trading at the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India. Risk perception is found to play a partial mediating role in the relationship amid overconfidence bias and investment decision-making, availability bias and investment decision-making, gamblers’ fallacy bias and investment decision-making and anchoring bias and investment decision-making, whereas it is found to play the full mediating role in the relationship between representativeness bias and investment decision-making. The result of the present study provides valuable insights into the different behavioural biases of capital market participants and other stakeholders such as equity investors, financial advisors, and policymakers. The present study solely relied on the heuristic biases of individual equity investors. However, in the real world, many other factors may impact the investment decision of individual equity investors. This has been considered a limitation of the study. The present study solely relied on the heuristic biases of individual equity investors. However, in the real world, many other factors may impact the investment decision of individual equity investors. This has been considered a limitation of the study.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article number72
    JournalRisks
    Volume11
    Issue number4
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Apr 2023

    Keywords

    • anchoring
    • gamblers’ fallacy
    • heuristics
    • investment decision-making
    • overconfidence
    • PLS predict
    • PLS-SEM
    • risk perception

    OECD Field of Science

    • 5.2 Economics and Business

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