Moving Down the Urban Hierarchy: Exploring Patterns of Internal Migration Towards Small Towns in Latvia

Europe has experienced a growing divergence in trends of population change across the urban hierarchy. A key driver of this divergence is internal migration, which underpins the efficient functioning of the economy by enhancing labor market flexibility and allowing people to choose the most desired locations. Internal migration in Latvia is of increasing importance, as the propensity to change residence within national borders has become the primary mechanism of demographic change, shaping population redistribution across regions and the urban hierarchy. We used Latvia as a case study, exemplified by the monocentric urban system with Riga City at its center, as well as a relatively dense network of small towns spread across all regions. Small towns in Latvia, although not characterized by high levels of internal migration, exhibit notable changes in their demographic and socioeconomic composition. Our analysis uses administrative data on registered migration for each year from 2011 to 2021 to characterize migration patterns, as well as data from the 2011 and 2021 census rounds on 1-year migration to analyze the composition of the migrant population. The results showed sociodemographic variations in the characteristics of individuals migrating to small towns. Understanding the temporal and spatial dynamics of internal migration patterns and compositional effects is vital for effective local and regional development policies to plan essential services and infrastructure.