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Predictors of poor outcomes among patients treated for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis at DOTS-plus projects

  • Ekaterina V. Kurbatova*
  • , Allison Taylor
  • , Victoria M. Gammino
  • , Jaime Bayona
  • , Mercedes Becerra
  • , Manfred Danilovitz
  • , Dennis Falzon
  • , Irina Gelmanova
  • , Salmaan Keshavjee
  • , Vaira Leimane
  • , Carole D. Mitnick
  • , Ma Imelda Quelapio
  • , Vija Riekstina
  • , Piret Viiklepp
  • , Matteo Zignol
  • , J. Peter Cegielski
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
  • Harvard University
  • Eye Clinic of Tartu University Hospital
  • World Health Organization
  • Riga East University Hospital
  • Tropical Disease Foundation
  • National Institute for Health Development

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

135 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The Objective of this analysis was to identify predictors of death, failure, and default among MDR-TB patients treated with second-line drugs in DOTS-plus projects in Estonia, Latvia, Philippines, Russia, and Peru, 2000-2004. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using multivariable regression. Of 1768 patients, treatment outcomes were: cure/completed - 1156 (65%), died - 200 (11%), default - 241 (14%), failure - 118 (7%). Independent predictors of death included: age>45 years (RR = 1.90 (95%CI 1.29-2.80), HIV infection (RR = 4.22 (2.65-6.72)), extrapulmonary disease (RR = 1.54 (1.04-2.26)), BMI<18.5 (RR = 2.71 (1.91-3.85)), previous use of fluoroquinolones (RR = 1.91 (1.31-2.78)), resistance to any thioamide (RR = 1.59 (1.14-2.22)), baseline positive smear (RR = 2.22 (1.60-3.10)), no culture conversion by 3rd month of treatment (RR = 1.69 (1.19-2.41)); failure: cavitary disease (RR = 1.73 (1.07-2.80)), resistance to any fluoroquinolone (RR = 2.73 (1.71-4.37)) and any thioamide (RR = 1.62 (1.12-2.34)), and no culture conversion by 3rd month (RR = 5.84 (3.02-11.27)); default: unemployment (RR = 1.50 (1.12-2.01)), homelessness (RR = 1.52 (1.00-2.31)), imprisonment (RR = 1.86 (1.42-2.45)), alcohol abuse (RR = 1.60 (1.18-2.16)), and baseline positive smear (RR = 1.35 (1.07-1.71)). Patients with biomedical risk factors for treatment failure or death should receive heightened medical attention. To prevent treatment default, management of patients who are unemployed, homeless, alcoholic, or have a prison history requires extra measures to insure treatment completion.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)397-403
Number of pages7
JournalTuberculosis
Volume92
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2012
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
  • Risk factors
  • Treatment outcomes

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